1. 20% probability that contractor rates will increase during life of project which would increase costs by $25,000 2. 20% chance that you won't be able to order necessary third party software, which now costs $25,000, until the new year resulting in a 10% software license fee increase 3. 50% probability that Corporate won't charge you that overhead admin charge of $5000 4. 10% chance that you'll be able to let 2 contractors go a month earlier than planned. You pay each $10,000 per month. 5. 50% chance that as part of your project you'll have to retrain the Help Desk to support your enhanced product at a total cost of $2000.