1. Using the “maximax” or Hurwicz criteria (i.e., go for broke or risk-lover), which strategy in the table below should be selected? A. S1 B. S2 C. S3 D. S4 Payoff Table (Profit in Millions) Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25% S1 80 50 120 S2 80 80 80 S3 160 120 -20 S4 20 40 20 S5 -20 0 -60 应用 "最大最大化maximax" 或 Hurwicz 标准 (如全力以赴或追求风险), 在下表中, 应该选择哪一策略? A. S1 B. S2 C. S3 D. S4 Payoff Table (Profit in Millions) Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25% S1 80 50 120 S2 80 80 80 S3 160 120 -20 S4 20 40 20 S5 -20 0 -60 是否因为s3,Scenario 1对应的160绝对值最大,所以选C 2. When the project team is carrying out risk management activities, the project manager facilitates decision-making that is influenced by the three broad categories of: A. Certainty, risk, and uncertainty B. Probability, risk, and uncertainty C. Probability, risk event, and uncertainty D. Hazard, risk event, and uncertainty 当项目团队在实施风险管理活动时, 项目经理要帮助做出决策, 这取决于三大类影响因素: A. 确定性,风险和不确定性 B. 概率,风险和不确定性 C. 概率,风险事件和不确定性 D. 危险,风险事件和不确定性 3. When trying to manage and reduce the risks associated with a project, the risk events should be grouped by: c A. The effect that the risk event will have on the project B. The impact of the risk event should it occur C. The source of the risk event D. The project manager’s tolerance for the risk event 当要进行管理和减少与项目相关联的风险时, 风险事件应该被分类,按照: A. 风险事件将对项目的影响效果 B. 如果风险事件确实发生, 其影响如何 C. 风险事件的起源 D. 项目经理对于风险事件的承受程度 4.Based on the data in the table below, which strategy has the highest expected value with no possibility of a loss? A A. S2 B. S3 C. S4 D. S5 Payoff Table (Profit in Millions) Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25% S1 80 50 120 S2 80 80 80 S3 160 120 -20 S4 20 40 20 S5 -20 0 -60 基于下表数据计算, 下列哪一策略没有亏损的可能性并具有最高的期望值? A. S2 B. S3 C. S4 D. S5 Payoff Table (Profit in Millions) Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25% S1 80 50 120 S2 80 80 80 S3 160 120 -20 S4 20 40 20 S5 -20 0 -60 5.5.A project manager’s utility function describes the project manager’s: A. Use of historical data in risk assessment B. Utilization of commercial databases in risk estimation C. Risk identification strategy D. Attitude toward risk 项目经理的效用函数描述着项目经理的: A. 在风险评估中的历史数据的使用 B. 在风险估计中的商业数据库的利用 C. 风险识别策略 D. 对于风险的态度 6.管理收尾和合同收尾的区别? A: 产品核实 B: 范围 C: 采购审计 D: 记录与最后结果的更新
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